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Atletico-MG vs Flamengo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AMon, 27 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG

WLWLL

Mon, 27 Apr 202600:30

0 : 4

Full time

Flamengo

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

25.8%Atletico-MG28.9%Draw45.4%Flamengo

Our prediction

Away · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 25.8%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Flamengo 45.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGFlamengo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X41.9%
X258.1%

Match result

Atletico-MG3.7
Draw3.3
Flamengo2.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

Atletico-MG

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.3

Flamengo

Chance45.4%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.1

Atletico-MGFlamengo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Mon, 27 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG meet Flamengo in the Brazil, Serie A on 27 April 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Flamengo at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Flamengo?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 27 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Flamengo prediction, H2H and stats