Atletico-MG vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 29 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG

DDDWW

Sat, 29 Aug 202622:30

2 : 1

Full time

Vitoria

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

53.5%Atletico-MG26.8%Draw19.7%Vitoria

Our prediction

Home · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 53.5%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Vitoria 19.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGVitoria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.75
Draw3.5
Vitoria4.75

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Atletico-MG

Chance53.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

Vitoria

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.75

Atletico-MGVitoria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG meet Vitoria in the Brazil, Serie A on 29 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Vitoria prediction, H2H and stats