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Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Primera AFri, 5 Dec 2025

Atletico Nacional

WLDDW

Fri, 5 Dec 202500:30

2 : 1

Full time

Independiente Medellin

LDLDL

Pre-match win probability

51.4%Atletico Nacional26.9%Draw21.7%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence51.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Nacional 51.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Independiente Medellin 21.7%

Season statistics

Primera A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Atletico Nacional1.83
Draw3.5
Independiente Medellin4.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Atletico Nacional

Chance51.4%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

Independiente Medellin

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Primera A · Fri, 5 Dec 2025

Atletico Nacional meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Primera A on 5 December 2025 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Nacional at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 5 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin prediction, H2H and stats