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Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Colombia · Copa ColombiaThu, 15 Oct 2026

Atletico Nacional

DWDDL

Thu, 15 Oct 202602:30

3 : 2

Full time

Independiente Medellin

WLDLW

Pre-match win probability

52.8%Atletico Nacional27.2%Draw20%Independiente Medellin

Our prediction

1X · Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Nacional 52.8%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Independiente Medellin 20%

Season statistics

Copa Colombia · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Atletico Nacional1.8
Draw3.5
Independiente Medellin4.75

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Atletico Nacional

Chance52.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Independiente Medellin

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: prediction & preview

Colombia · Copa Colombia · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Atletico Nacional meet Independiente Medellin in the Colombia, Copa Colombia on 15 October 2026 at 02:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Nacional at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Kickoff is 02:30 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Atletico Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.