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Aubagne vs Caen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Fri, 15 May 2026

Aubagne

11th in table · 37 pts

LLWLL

Fri, 15 May 202618:30

3 : 1

Full time

Caen

8th in table · 40 pts

WLWLW

Pre-match win probability

35%Aubagne27.9%Draw37.2%Caen

Our prediction

Caen

Caen is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aubagne 35%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Caen 37.2%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AubagneCaen
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Wins
98
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aubagne2W 1D 7L in last 10
  • 17 OctAubagne0 – 1Le Puy FootL
  • 3 OctLa Roche VF3 – 1AubagneL
  • 26 SeptFleury 911 – 2AubagneW
  • 19 SeptRouen1 – 0AubagneL
  • 12 SeptAubagne1 – 2ConcarneauL
Caen6W 0D 4L in last 10
  • 15 OctCaen2 – 1La Roche VFW
  • 3 OctFleury 913 – 2CaenL
  • 24 SeptCaen3 – 2RouenW
  • 19 SeptConcarneau2 – 0CaenL
  • 12 SeptCaen2 – 0GobelinsW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X45.3%
X254.7%

Match result

Aubagne2.55
Draw3.2
Caen2.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

Aubagne

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Caen

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caen at 2.4

AubagneCaen
Recent form28%72%
Attack24%76%
Defence50%50%
Goals model24%76%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 3

Aubagne scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 3

Aubagne conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 3

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 3

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Aubagne vs Caen: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Fri, 15 May 2026

Aubagne meet Caen in the France, Ligue 3 on 15 May 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caen at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aubagne vs Caen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aubagne vs Caen?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 15 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aubagne vs Caen?

Caen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.