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Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Fri, 7 Aug 2026

Aubagne

Fri, 7 Aug 202619:45

0 : 3

Full time

Thionville Lusitanos

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Aubagne28.4%Draw28.4%Thionville Lusitanos

Our prediction

Aubagne

Aubagne is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aubagne 43.2%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Thionville Lusitanos 28.4%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

AubagneThionville Lusitanos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.5% · 9.5
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.286.7% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.3% · 1.912.3% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.2% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X57.6%
X242.4%

Match result

Aubagne2.1
Draw3.2
Thionville Lusitanos3.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance57.6%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.4%
Odds1.7

Aubagne

Chance43.2%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.2

Thionville Lusitanos

Chance28.4%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aubagne at 2.1

AubagneThionville Lusitanos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Fri, 7 Aug 2026

Aubagne meet Thionville Lusitanos in the France, Ligue 3 on 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aubagne at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 7 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Aubagne is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction, H2H and stats