Aucas vs El Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSat, 1 Nov 2025

Aucas

Sat, 1 Nov 202522:30

3 : 3

Full time

El Nacional

Pre-match win probability

54.4%Aucas24.7%Draw20.9%El Nacional

Our prediction

Aucas

Aucas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.72
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aucas 54.4%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • El Nacional 20.9%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

AucasEl Nacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.012.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.226.5% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.9% · 1.7811.7% · 1.96
3.5 goals8.2% · 2.8117.2% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.5%
No46.5%

Double chance

1X63.4%
X236.6%

Match result

Aucas1.72
Draw3.78
El Nacional4.47

Both teams to score

Yes53.5% · 1.72
No46.5% · 1.98

1X

Chance63.4%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.6%
Odds2.03

Aucas

Chance54.4%
Odds1.72

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.78

El Nacional

Chance20.9%
Odds4.47

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aucas at 1.72

AucasEl Nacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Aucas vs El Nacional: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sat, 1 Nov 2025

Aucas meet El Nacional in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 1 November 2025 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aucas at 1.72. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.78, about 52.4% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.72.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aucas vs El Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aucas vs El Nacional?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 1 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aucas vs El Nacional?

Aucas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.72. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.78 and under 2.5 is 1.96.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.72. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aucas vs El Nacional prediction, H2H and stats