Get Premium

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProThu, 16 Jul 2026

Aucas

WWDWL

Thu, 16 Jul 202622:30

0 : 3

Full time

Independiente del Valle

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

28.8%Aucas28.4%Draw42.9%Independiente del Valle

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Aucas

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence42.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aucas 28.8%
  • Draw 28.4%
  • Independiente del Valle 42.9%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

AucasIndependiente del Valle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Aucas3.2
Draw3.25
Independiente del Valle2.15

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Aucas

Chance28.8%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance28.4%
Odds3.25

Independiente del Valle

Chance42.9%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

AucasIndependiente del Valle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Thu, 16 Jul 2026

Aucas meet Independiente del Valle in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 16 July 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 16 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction, H2H and stats