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Avondale vs South Melbourne Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · Victoria NPLSat, 14 Feb 2026

Avondale

Sat, 14 Feb 202605:00

0 : 2

Full time

South Melbourne

Pre-match win probability

37.7%Avondale24.9%Draw37.4%South Melbourne

Our prediction

Avondale

Avondale is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence37.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Avondale 37.7%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • South Melbourne 37.4%

Season statistics

Victoria NPL · highlighted side is stronger

AvondaleSouth Melbourne

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals26.2% · 1.176.8% · 4.5
2.5 goals19.2% · 1.613.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals12.3% · 2.520.4% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Avondale2.38
Draw3.6
South Melbourne2.4

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Avondale

Chance37.7%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

South Melbourne

Chance37.4%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Avondale at 2.38

AvondaleSouth Melbourne
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Avondale vs South Melbourne: prediction & preview

Australia · Victoria NPL · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Avondale meet South Melbourne in the Australia, Victoria NPL on 14 February 2026 at 05:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Avondale at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Avondale vs South Melbourne FAQs

4 questions

What time is Avondale vs South Melbourne?

Kickoff is 05:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Avondale vs South Melbourne?

Avondale is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Avondale vs South Melbourne prediction, H2H and stats