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Ayr Utd vs Morton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Scotland · ChampionshipSat, 21 Mar 2026

Ayr Utd

7th in table · 39 pts

WLWDL

Sat, 21 Mar 202616:00

0 : 1

Full time

Morton

8th in table · 38 pts

LLLWW

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Ayr Utd25.7%Draw23%Morton

Our prediction

Draw · Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd vs Morton listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ayr Utd 51.3%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Morton 23%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Ayr UtdMorton
Goals scored (avg)
0.81
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.7
Wins
88
Played
3636

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ayr Utd2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 16 OctAyr Utd0 – 1PartickL
  • 10 OctAyr Utd1 – 1DunfermlineD
  • 3 OctLivingston1 – 2Ayr UtdW
  • 25 SeptAyr Utd0 – 1StenhousemuirL
  • 18 SeptQueen's Park0 – 2Ayr UtdW
Morton2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 17 OctMorton2 – 0Queen's ParkW
  • 10 OctArbroath1 – 2MortonW
  • 3 OctMorton1 – 2Raith RoversL
  • 25 SeptInverness CT2 – 0MortonL
  • 19 SeptMorton0 – 1DunfermlineL
H2H
Head to headAyr Utd 2W · 5D · Morton 1W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 29 AugAyr Utd1 – 1Morton
  • 27 DecMorton1 – 1Ayr Utd
  • 18 OctAyr Utd2 – 1Morton
  • 23 AugMorton2 – 2Ayr Utd
  • 8 MarMorton2 – 1Ayr Utd
  • 28 DecAyr Utd0 – 0Morton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Ayr Utd1.75
Draw3.5
Morton3.9

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Ayr Utd

Chance51.3%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.5

Morton

Chance23%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.5

Ayr UtdMorton
Recent form53%47%
Attack44%56%
Defence58%42%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Ayr Utd scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Ayr Utd conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Ayr Utd vs Morton: prediction & preview

Scotland · Championship · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Ayr Utd meet Morton in the Scotland, Championship on 21 March 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ayr Utd at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ayr Utd vs Morton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ayr Utd vs Morton?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ayr Utd vs Morton?

Ayr Utd is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.