AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWD

Wed, 14 Jan 202621:00

6 : 0

Full time

Ajax

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

46.9%AZ Alkmaar24.7%Draw28.4%Ajax

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 46.9%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Ajax 28.4%

Season statistics

KNVB Beker · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X59.9%
X240.1%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar2
Draw3.8
Ajax3.3

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance59.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance40.1%
Odds1.91

AZ Alkmaar

Chance46.9%
Odds2

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

Ajax

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

AZ AlkmaarAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · KNVB Beker · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Ajax in the Netherlands, KNVB Beker on 14 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats