AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

AZ Alkmaar

Sun, 8 Feb 202614:30

1 : 1

Full time

Ajax

Pre-match win probability

39.7%AZ Alkmaar25.7%Draw34.6%Ajax

Our prediction

Away or Draw · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 39.7%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Ajax 34.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar2.4
Draw3.7
Ajax2.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

AZ Alkmaar

Chance39.7%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Ajax

Chance34.6%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

AZ AlkmaarAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 8 Feb 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 8 February 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 8 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats