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AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 12 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar

LWLWW

Sun, 12 Apr 202615:45

3 : 0

Full time

Heerenveen

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

53.9%AZ Alkmaar23%Draw23%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Away · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 53.9%
  • Draw 23%
  • Heerenveen 23%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarHeerenveen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X62.1%
X237.9%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.75
Draw4.1
Heerenveen4.1

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.9%
Odds2

AZ Alkmaar

Chance53.9%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Heerenveen

Chance23%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 4.1

AZ AlkmaarHeerenveen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 12 April 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen prediction, H2H and stats