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AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 15 Mar 2026

AZ Alkmaar

WLWLW

Sun, 15 Mar 202614:30

4 : 0

Full time

Heracles

DLLLL

Pre-match win probability

71%AZ Alkmaar16.4%Draw12.6%Heracles

Our prediction

Home · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence71%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 71%
  • Draw 16.4%
  • Heracles 12.6%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarHeracles

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AZ Alkmaar0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Heracles0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headAZ Alkmaar 4W · 2D · Heracles 3W · 3.2 goals a game
      • 14 SeptHeracles1 – 2AZ Alkmaar
      • 13 AprHeracles1 – 0AZ Alkmaar
      • 27 FebHeracles2 – 2AZ Alkmaar
      • 1 DecAZ Alkmaar1 – 0Heracles
      • 3 AprHeracles5 – 0AZ Alkmaar
      • 28 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Heracles

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
      1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
      2.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.7% · 2.7
      3.5 goals11.2% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.3%
      No46.7%

      Double chance

      1X73.2%
      X226.8%

      Match result

      AZ Alkmaar1.33
      Draw5.75
      Heracles7.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes53.3% · 1.75
      No46.7% · 2

      1X

      Chance73.2%
      Odds1.1

      X2

      Chance26.8%
      Odds3

      AZ Alkmaar

      Chance71%
      Odds1.33

      Draw

      Chance16.4%
      Odds5.75

      Heracles

      Chance12.6%
      Odds7.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.33

      AZ AlkmaarHeracles
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head56%44%
      Overall85%15%

      AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles: prediction & preview

      Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

      AZ Alkmaar meet Heracles in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?

      Kickoff is 14:30 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?

      AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.7.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles prediction, H2H and stats