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AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 31 Jan 2026

AZ Alkmaar

WDLWW

Sat, 31 Jan 202616:30

1 : 3

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

51%AZ Alkmaar23.6%Draw25.5%NEC Nijmegen

Our prediction

Away or Draw · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence51%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 51%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • NEC Nijmegen 25.5%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarNEC Nijmegen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X59.9%
X240.1%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.85
Draw4
NEC Nijmegen3.7

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance59.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance40.1%
Odds1.91

AZ Alkmaar

Chance51%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

NEC Nijmegen

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.91

AZ AlkmaarNEC Nijmegen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 31 January 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, H2H and stats