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AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · KNVB BekerSun, 19 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar

Sun, 19 Apr 202617:00

5 : 1

Full time

NEC Nijmegen

Pre-match win probability

41.5%AZ Alkmaar25.4%Draw33.1%NEC Nijmegen

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 41.5%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • NEC Nijmegen 33.1%

Season statistics

KNVB Beker · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarNEC Nijmegen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar2.3
Draw3.75
NEC Nijmegen2.88

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

AZ Alkmaar

Chance41.5%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

NEC Nijmegen

Chance33.1%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AZ Alkmaar at 2.3

AZ AlkmaarNEC Nijmegen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · KNVB Beker · Sun, 19 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands, KNVB Beker on 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 19 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, H2H and stats