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AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 22 Feb 2026

AZ Alkmaar

Sun, 22 Feb 202616:45

3 : 1

Full time

Sparta Rotterdam

Pre-match win probability

48.9%AZ Alkmaar25.7%Draw25.4%Sparta Rotterdam

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 48.9%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Sparta Rotterdam 25.4%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarSparta Rotterdam

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.95
Draw3.7
Sparta Rotterdam3.75

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

AZ Alkmaar

Chance48.9%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Sparta Rotterdam

Chance25.4%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: AZ Alkmaar at 1.95

AZ AlkmaarSparta Rotterdam
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 22 February 2026 at 16:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Kickoff is 16:45 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction, H2H and stats