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AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieFri, 11 Sept 2026

AZ Alkmaar

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:00

1 : 1

Full time

Willem II

Pre-match win probability

82.6%AZ Alkmaar11.1%Draw6.3%Willem II

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence82.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 82.6%
  • Draw 11.1%
  • Willem II 6.3%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarWillem II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
3.5 goals14.2% · 1.6711.3% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X84.2%
X215.8%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.14
Draw8.5
Willem II15

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance84.2%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance15.8%
Odds5.5

AZ Alkmaar

Chance82.6%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance11.1%
Odds8.5

Willem II

Chance6.3%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.14

AZ AlkmaarWillem II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall93%7%

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Willem II in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction, H2H and stats