Bærum vs Lillestrom Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Norway · NM CupenThu, 1 Oct 2026

Bærum

Thu, 1 Oct 202617:00

1 : 5

Full time

Lillestrom

Pre-match win probability

3.6%Bærum9.3%Draw87.1%Lillestrom

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Bærum

Bærum vs Lillestrom listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence87.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bærum 3.6%
  • Draw 9.3%
  • Lillestrom 87.1%

Season statistics

NM Cupen · highlighted side is stronger

BærumLillestrom

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
2.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.7% · 4.2
3.5 goals15.6% · 1.5310% · 2.38

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X11.2%
X288.8%

Match result

Bærum26
Draw10
Lillestrom1.07

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance11.2%
Odds8

X2

Chance88.8%
Odds1.01

Bærum

Chance3.6%
Odds26

Draw

Chance9.3%
Odds10

Lillestrom

Chance87.1%
Odds1.07

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.07

BærumLillestrom
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall4%96%

Bærum vs Lillestrom: prediction & preview

Norway · NM Cupen · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Bærum meet Lillestrom in the Norway, NM Cupen on 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lillestrom at 1.07. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 87.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.22, about 77.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bærum vs Lillestrom FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bærum vs Lillestrom?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bærum vs Lillestrom?

Lillestrom is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.07. The margin-adjusted share is about 87.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.22 and under 2.5 is 4.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bærum vs Lillestrom prediction, H2H and stats