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Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipSat, 14 Mar 2026

Baglan Dragons

Sat, 14 Mar 202615:00

0 : 5

Full time

Caerau (Ely)

Pre-match win probability

20.6%Baglan Dragons25.4%Draw54%Caerau (Ely)

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.65
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Baglan Dragons 20.6%
  • Draw 25.4%
  • Caerau (Ely) 54%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Baglan Dragons0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Caerau (Ely)0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headBaglan Dragons 3W · 0D · Caerau (Ely) 4W · 2.7 goals a game
      • 28 AugBaglan Dragons3 – 1Caerau (Ely)
      • 17 SeptCaerau (Ely)2 – 1Baglan Dragons
      • 22 AugCaerau (Ely)1 – 0Baglan Dragons
      • 11 JanBaglan Dragons2 – 1Caerau (Ely)
      • 1 NovCaerau (Ely)2 – 1Baglan Dragons
      • 20 JanBaglan Dragons2 – 0Caerau (Ely)

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals57.1% · 1.6542.9% · 2.2

      Double chance

      1X31.4%
      X268.6%

      Match result

      Baglan Dragons4.33
      Draw3.5
      Caerau (Ely)1.65

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance31.4%
      Odds2.4

      X2

      Chance68.6%
      Odds1.1

      Baglan Dragons

      Chance20.6%
      Odds4.33

      Draw

      Chance25.4%
      Odds3.5

      Caerau (Ely)

      Chance54%
      Odds1.65

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Caerau (Ely) at 1.65

      Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head43%57%
      Overall28%72%

      Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): prediction & preview

      Wales · FAW Championship · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

      Baglan Dragons meet Caerau (Ely) in the Wales, FAW Championship on 14 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?

      Kickoff is 15:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?

      Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.