Get Premium

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 28 Aug 2026

Baglan Dragons

5th in table · 17 pts

Fri, 28 Aug 202619:30

3 : 1

Full time

Caerau (Ely)

4th in table · 19 pts

Pre-match win probability

19.8%Baglan Dragons21.8%Draw58.4%Caerau (Ely)

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence58.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Baglan Dragons 19.8%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Caerau (Ely) 58.4%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
Wins
56
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Baglan Dragons0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Caerau (Ely)0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      2.5 goals56.3% · 1.6743.7% · 2.15

      Double chance

      1X33.2%
      X266.8%

      Match result

      Baglan Dragons4.5
      Draw4.1
      Caerau (Ely)1.53

      No BTTS prices stored.

      1X

      Chance33.2%
      Odds2.25

      X2

      Chance66.8%
      Odds1.12

      Baglan Dragons

      Chance19.8%
      Odds4.5

      Draw

      Chance21.8%
      Odds4.1

      Caerau (Ely)

      Chance58.4%
      Odds1.53

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Caerau (Ely) at 1.53

      Baglan DragonsCaerau (Ely)
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall25%75%

      Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely): prediction & preview

      Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

      Baglan Dragons meet Caerau (Ely) in the Wales, FAW Championship on 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin).

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?

      Kickoff is 19:30 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?

      Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.4%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.