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Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONCACAF Nations LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Bahamas

Sun, 4 Oct 202621:00

2 : 3

Full time

US Virgin Islands

Pre-match win probability

21.5%Bahamas25.2%Draw53.3%US Virgin Islands

Our prediction

US Virgin Islands

US Virgin Islands is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahamas 21.5%
  • Draw 25.2%
  • US Virgin Islands 53.3%

Season statistics

CONCACAF Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

BahamasUS Virgin Islands

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X37.5%
X262.5%

Match result

Bahamas4.33
Draw3.7
US Virgin Islands1.75

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance37.5%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.5%
Odds1.2

Bahamas

Chance21.5%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance25.2%
Odds3.7

US Virgin Islands

Chance53.3%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: US Virgin Islands at 1.75

BahamasUS Virgin Islands
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands: prediction & preview

World · CONCACAF Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Bahamas meet US Virgin Islands in the World, CONCACAF Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is US Virgin Islands at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

US Virgin Islands is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands prediction, H2H and stats