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Bahia vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AMon, 20 Oct 2025

Bahia

Mon, 20 Oct 202500:30

4 : 0

Full time

Gremio

Pre-match win probability

54.8%Bahia25.8%Draw19.4%Gremio

Our prediction

Bahia

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence54.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahia 54.8%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Gremio 19.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

BahiaGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%3.2% · 9.2
1.5 goals23.3% · 1.289.6% · 3.12
2.5 goals14.4% · 2.0716.6% · 1.79
3.5 goals8.5% · 3.5224.4% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.2%
No51.8%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Bahia1.75
Draw3.72
Gremio4.94

Both teams to score

Yes48.2% · 1.92
No51.8% · 1.79

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Bahia

Chance54.8%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.72

Gremio

Chance19.4%
Odds4.94

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Bahia at 1.75

BahiaGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Bahia vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Mon, 20 Oct 2025

Bahia meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 20 October 2025 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.79, about 53.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.79.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahia vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bahia vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 20 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs Gremio?

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.07 and under 2.5 is 1.79.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.92. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahia vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats