Bahia vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 17 May 2026

Bahia

Sun, 17 May 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Gremio

Pre-match win probability

57.1%Bahia23.8%Draw19.1%Gremio

Our prediction

Bahia

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.67
Confidence57.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bahia 57.1%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Gremio 19.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

BahiaGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7511.6% · 2.05
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Bahia1.67
Draw4
Gremio5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Bahia

Chance57.1%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4

Gremio

Chance19.1%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Bahia at 1.67

BahiaGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Bahia vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 17 May 2026

Bahia meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahia at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bahia vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bahia vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bahia vs Gremio?

Bahia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bahia vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats