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Barakaldo vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Barakaldo

LDLWD

Sat, 25 Apr 202617:30

3 : 0

Full time

Lugo

DLLWD

Pre-match win probability

46.9%Barakaldo28.9%Draw24.2%Lugo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Barakaldo

Barakaldo vs Lugo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence46.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Barakaldo 46.9%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Lugo 24.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

BarakaldoLugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X58.6%
X241.4%

Match result

Barakaldo1.91
Draw3.1
Lugo3.7

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance58.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance41.4%
Odds1.73

Barakaldo

Chance46.9%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.1

Lugo

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

BarakaldoLugo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Barakaldo vs Lugo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Barakaldo meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 25 April 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barakaldo at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Barakaldo vs Lugo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Barakaldo vs Lugo?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Barakaldo vs Lugo?

Barakaldo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Barakaldo vs Lugo prediction, H2H and stats