Get Premium

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReyTue, 3 Mar 2026

Barcelona

Tue, 3 Mar 202621:00

3 : 0

Full time

Atletico Madrid

Pre-match win probability

65.5%Barcelona17.3%Draw17.3%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Barcelona

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.45
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Barcelona 65.5%
  • Draw 17.3%
  • Atletico Madrid 17.3%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

BarcelonaAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%0.9% · 34
1.5 goals29.5% · 1.063.1% · 10
2.5 goals25% · 1.257.8% · 4
3.5 goals19.3% · 1.6214.2% · 2.2

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X69.7%
X230.3%

Match result

Barcelona1.45
Draw5.5
Atletico Madrid5.5

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance69.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance30.3%
Odds2.62

Barcelona

Chance65.5%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance17.3%
Odds5.5

Atletico Madrid

Chance17.3%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.45

BarcelonaAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · Copa del Rey · Tue, 3 Mar 2026

Barcelona meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 3 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barcelona at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.25, about 76.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 3 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid?

Barcelona is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.25 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats