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Bari vs Empoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BWed, 4 Mar 2026

Bari

WDLDL

Wed, 4 Mar 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Empoli

DDDLL

Pre-match win probability

32.1%Bari29.1%Draw38.8%Empoli

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bari

Bari vs Empoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bari 32.1%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Empoli 38.8%

Season statistics

Serie B · highlighted side is stronger

BariEmpoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Bari2.9
Draw3.2
Empoli2.4

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Bari

Chance32.1%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.2

Empoli

Chance38.8%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.57

BariEmpoli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Bari vs Empoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

Bari meet Empoli in the Italy, Serie B on 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Empoli at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bari vs Empoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bari vs Empoli?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bari vs Empoli?

Empoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bari vs Empoli prediction, H2H and stats