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Barnsley vs York Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 1 Nov 2025

Barnsley

Sat, 1 Nov 202516:00

3 : 2

Full time

York

DDDWL

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Barnsley24%Draw25.3%York

Our prediction

Barnsley

Barnsley is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence50.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Barnsley 50.6%
  • Draw 24%
  • York 25.3%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

BarnsleyYork
Goals scored (avg)
–1.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Barnsley0W 0D 0L in last 0
    York3W 4D 3L in last 10
    • 27 OctBarnet3 – 1YorkL
    • 24 OctYork2 – 0Port ValeW
    • 20 OctYork1 – 1Accrington STD
    • 17 OctNewport County1 – 1YorkD
    • 10 OctYork1 – 1NorthamptonD
    H2H
    Head to headBarnsley 2W · 1D · York 1W · 3 goals a game
    • 11 JulYork2 – 1Barnsley
    • 22 JulYork2 – 2Barnsley
    • 10 NovBarnsley2 – 1York
    • 2 SeptBarnsley2 – 0York

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.011.5% · 15
    1.5 goals21.2% · 1.094.4% · 5.25
    2.5 goals16% · 1.449.4% · 2.45
    3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2114.1% · 1.64

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.2%
    No35.8%

    Double chance

    1X60.4%
    X239.6%

    Match result

    Barnsley1.85
    Draw3.9
    York3.7

    Both teams to score

    Yes64.2% · 1.44
    No35.8% · 2.58

    1X

    Chance60.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance39.6%
    Odds1.91

    Barnsley

    Chance50.6%
    Odds1.85

    Draw

    Chance24%
    Odds3.9

    York

    Chance25.3%
    Odds3.7

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Barnsley at 1.85

    BarnsleyYork
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack40%60%
    Defence36%64%
    Goals model40%60%
    Head-to-head63%37%
    Overall67%33%

    Trends

    Trend · FA Cup

    York scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    York conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Barnsley vs York: prediction & preview

    England · FA Cup · Sat, 1 Nov 2025

    Barnsley meet York in the England, FA Cup on 1 November 2025 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barnsley at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 63% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Barnsley vs York FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Barnsley vs York?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 1 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Barnsley vs York?

    Barnsley is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.45.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.