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Bastia vs Le Mans Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 2Sat, 9 May 2026

Bastia

WDWLD

Sat, 9 May 202619:00

vs

Not started

Le Mans

DDWDW

Pre-match win probability

30.4%Bastia27.7%Draw41.9%Le Mans

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Bastia

Bastia vs Le Mans listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence41.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bastia 30.4%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Le Mans 41.9%

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · highlighted side is stronger

BastiaLe Mans

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Bastia3.1
Draw3.4
Le Mans2.25

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Bastia

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

Le Mans

Chance41.9%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.36

BastiaLe Mans
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Bastia vs Le Mans: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Sat, 9 May 2026

Bastia meet Le Mans in the France, Ligue 2 on 9 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Le Mans at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bastia vs Le Mans FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bastia vs Le Mans?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bastia vs Le Mans?

Le Mans is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bastia vs Le Mans prediction, H2H and stats