Bastia vs Montpellier Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 2Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Bastia

WLWWD

Fri, 23 Jan 202620:00

0 : 2

Full time

Montpellier

LWLWD

Pre-match win probability

34.8%Bastia30.4%Draw34.8%Montpellier

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bastia

Bastia vs Montpellier listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence34.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bastia 34.8%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Montpellier 34.8%

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · highlighted side is stronger

BastiaMontpellier

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X48.6%
X251.4%

Match result

Bastia2.62
Draw3
Montpellier2.62

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

Bastia

Chance34.8%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3

Montpellier

Chance34.8%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.44

BastiaMontpellier
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Bastia vs Montpellier: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 23 Jan 2026

Bastia meet Montpellier in the France, Ligue 2 on 23 January 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bastia at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bastia vs Montpellier FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bastia vs Montpellier?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bastia vs Montpellier?

Bastia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bastia vs Montpellier prediction, H2H and stats