Get Premium

Bastia vs Orleans Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Bastia

LDWLW

Thu, 1 Oct 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Orleans

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

42%Bastia27.8%Draw30.1%Orleans

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Bastia

Bastia vs Orleans listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bastia 42%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Orleans 30.1%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

BastiaOrleans

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Bastia2.15
Draw3.25
Orleans3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.55

Bastia

Chance42%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.25

Orleans

Chance30.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

BastiaOrleans
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Bastia vs Orleans: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Bastia meet Orleans in the France, Ligue 3 on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bastia at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bastia vs Orleans FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bastia vs Orleans?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bastia vs Orleans?

Bastia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bastia vs Orleans prediction, H2H and stats