Belgium vs France Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Belgium

WLWDW

Mon, 28 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full time

France

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

23.7%Belgium24.4%Draw51.9%France

Our prediction

Draw · Belgium

Belgium vs France listed tip from the board.

Odds3.9
Confidence51.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Belgium 23.7%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • France 51.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

BelgiumFrance

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Belgium4
Draw3.9
France1.83

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Belgium

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

France

Chance51.9%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.9

BelgiumFrance
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall31%69%

Belgium vs France: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

Belgium meet France in the World, UEFA Nations League on 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is France at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Belgium vs France FAQs

4 questions

What time is Belgium vs France?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Belgium vs France?

France is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Belgium vs France prediction, H2H and stats