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Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fátima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CSun, 21 Dec 2025

Benfica Castelo Branco

Sun, 21 Dec 202516:00

1 : 0

Full time

Fátima

LWLWD

Pre-match win probability

48.6%Benfica Castelo Branco28.7%Draw22.8%Fátima

Our prediction

Benfica Castelo Branco

Benfica Castelo Branco is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica Castelo Branco 48.6%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Fátima 22.8%

Season statistics

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · highlighted side is stronger

Benfica Castelo BrancoFátima
Goals scored (avg)
–2.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica Castelo Branco0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Fátima5W 2D 3L in last 10
    • 25 OctSertanense2 – 2FátimaD
    • 18 OctFátima1 – 0Academico ViseuW
    • 11 OctFátima1 – 3NazarenosL
    • 20 SeptFátima4 – 1VinhaisW
    • 13 SeptFátima0 – 1Oliveira HospitalL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals37.5% · 2.562.5% · 1.5

    Double chance

    1X60.4%
    X239.6%

    Match result

    Benfica Castelo Branco1.83
    Draw3.1
    Fátima3.9

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance60.4%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance39.6%
    Odds1.8

    Benfica Castelo Branco

    Chance48.6%
    Odds1.83

    Draw

    Chance28.7%
    Odds3.1

    Fátima

    Chance22.8%
    Odds3.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Benfica Castelo Branco at 1.83

    Benfica Castelo BrancoFátima
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack32%68%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model32%68%
    Overall68%32%

    Trends

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

    Fátima scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

    Fátima conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fátima: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sun, 21 Dec 2025

    Benfica Castelo Branco meet Fátima in the Portugal, Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 21 December 2025 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica Castelo Branco at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fátima FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fátima?

    Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fátima?

    Benfica Castelo Branco is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.