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Benfica vs Celtic Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 15 Oct 2026

Benfica

Thu, 15 Oct 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Celtic

Pre-match win probability

79.4%Benfica12.7%Draw7.9%Celtic

Our prediction

Home · Benfica

Benfica vs Celtic listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence79.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 79.4%
  • Draw 12.7%
  • Celtic 7.9%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaCeltic

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.1% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals18.4% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
3.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X80.5%
X219.5%

Match result

Benfica1.2
Draw7.5
Celtic12

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance80.5%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance19.5%
Odds4.33

Benfica

Chance79.4%
Odds1.2

Draw

Chance12.7%
Odds7.5

Celtic

Chance7.9%
Odds12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.2

BenficaCeltic
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall91%9%

Benfica vs Celtic: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Benfica meet Celtic in the World, UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.3, about 72.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Celtic FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Celtic?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Celtic?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.3 and under 2.5 is 3.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.