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Benfica vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 25 Jan 2026

Benfica

LWLLW

Sun, 25 Jan 202619:00

4 : 0

Full time

Estrela

LDWDL

Pre-match win probability

83.3%Benfica11.2%Draw5.6%Estrela

Our prediction

Draw · Benfica

Benfica vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds8.5
Confidence83.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 83.3%
  • Draw 11.2%
  • Estrela 5.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X84.2%
X215.8%

Match result

Benfica1.14
Draw8.5
Estrela17

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance84.2%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance15.8%
Odds5.5

Benfica

Chance83.3%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance11.2%
Odds8.5

Estrela

Chance5.6%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 8.5

BenficaEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall94%6%

Benfica vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 25 Jan 2026

Benfica meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 25 January 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 83.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 25 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Estrela?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 83.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Benfica vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats