Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Benfica

WLWLW

Sun, 8 Mar 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

FC Porto

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

46%Benfica30.4%Draw23.6%FC Porto

Our prediction

Draw · Benfica

Benfica vs FC Porto listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 46%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • FC Porto 23.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaFC Porto

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Benfica2.05
Draw3.1
FC Porto4

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Benfica

Chance46%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

FC Porto

Chance23.6%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

BenficaFC Porto
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Benfica vs FC Porto: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Benfica meet FC Porto in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 8 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs FC Porto FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs FC Porto?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs FC Porto?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Benfica vs FC Porto prediction, H2H and stats