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Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 28 Jan 2026

Benfica

WLWLL

Wed, 28 Jan 202621:00

vs

Not started

Real Madrid

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

22.6%Benfica22.6%Draw54.8%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Draw · Benfica

Benfica vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds4.2
Confidence54.8%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 22.6%
  • Draw 22.6%
  • Real Madrid 54.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X37.3%
X262.7%

Match result

Benfica4.2
Draw4.2
Real Madrid1.73

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance37.3%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance62.7%
Odds1.22

Benfica

Chance22.6%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance22.6%
Odds4.2

Real Madrid

Chance54.8%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.2

BenficaReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Benfica vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 28 Jan 2026

Benfica meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 28 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 28 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats