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Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 17 Feb 2026

Benfica

WWDWW

Tue, 17 Feb 202621:00

0 : 1

Full time

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

30.8%Benfica25.8%Draw43.4%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Draw · Benfica

Benfica vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 30.8%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Real Madrid 43.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

Benfica3.1
Draw3.7
Real Madrid2.2

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

Benfica

Chance30.8%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Real Madrid

Chance43.4%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.7

BenficaReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Benfica vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 17 Feb 2026

Benfica meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 17 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.