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Benfica vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça da LigaWed, 29 Oct 2025

Benfica

Wed, 29 Oct 202521:45

3 : 0

Full time

Tondela

Pre-match win probability

79.1%Benfica14.2%Draw6.7%Tondela

Our prediction

Benfica

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.18
Confidence79.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 79.1%
  • Draw 14.2%
  • Tondela 6.7%

Season statistics

Taça da Liga · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.021.3% · 17.5
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.124.9% · 4.7
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.479.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.4% · 1.61

Both teams to score

Yes42.5%
No57.5%

Double chance

1X81.7%
X218.3%

Match result

Benfica1.18
Draw6.55
Tondela14

Both teams to score

Yes42.5% · 2.18
No57.5% · 1.61

1X

Chance81.7%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance18.3%
Odds4.5

Benfica

Chance79.1%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance14.2%
Odds6.55

Tondela

Chance6.7%
Odds14

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Benfica at 1.18

BenficaTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall92%8%

Benfica vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça da Liga · Wed, 29 Oct 2025

Benfica meet Tondela in the Portugal, Taça da Liga on 29 October 2025 at 21:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 79.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.47, about 61.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.61.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Benfica vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 21:45 on 29 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Benfica vs Tondela?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 79.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.47 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.18. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Benfica vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats