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BFC Daugavpils vs Riga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaFri, 8 May 2026

BFC Daugavpils

DLDWW

Fri, 8 May 202615:30

1 : 3

Full time

Riga

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

12%BFC Daugavpils18.9%Draw69.1%Riga

Our prediction

Away or Draw · BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils vs Riga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.1
Confidence69.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BFC Daugavpils 12%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Riga 69.1%

Season statistics

Virsliga · highlighted side is stronger

BFC DaugavpilsRiga
Goals scored (avg)
–1.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

BFC Daugavpils0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Riga6W 4D 0L in last 10
    • 26 OctGrobiņa2 – 5RigaW
    • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
    • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaW
    • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
    • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.032.3% · 10
    1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
    2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
    3.5 goals9.3% · 2.515.5% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X31.4%
    X268.6%

    Match result

    BFC Daugavpils7.5
    Draw4.75
    Riga1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.83
    No50% · 1.83

    1X

    Chance31.4%
    Odds2.4

    X2

    Chance68.6%
    Odds1.1

    BFC Daugavpils

    Chance12%
    Odds7.5

    Draw

    Chance18.9%
    Odds4.75

    Riga

    Chance69.1%
    Odds1.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.1

    BFC DaugavpilsRiga
    Recent form4%96%
    Attack36%64%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model36%64%
    Overall15%85%

    Trends

    Trend · Virsliga

    Riga scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Virsliga

    Riga conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Virsliga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Virsliga

    Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 10.

    BFC Daugavpils vs Riga: prediction & preview

    Latvia · Virsliga · Fri, 8 May 2026

    BFC Daugavpils meet Riga in the Latvia, Virsliga on 8 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 8 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on BFC Daugavpils vs Riga?

    Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.