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BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaSat, 25 Oct 2025

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table · 48 pts

LDWWW

Sat, 25 Oct 202512:00

2 : 2

Full time

Super Nova

8th in table · 32 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

45.3%BFC Daugavpils25.9%Draw28.8%Super Nova

Our prediction

Home or Draw · BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BFC Daugavpils 45.3%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • Super Nova 28.8%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.3
Wins
136
Played
3636

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

BFC Daugavpils4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 1AudaW
  • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 SeptFK Liepaja0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
  • 13 SeptBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Rīgas FSL
Super Nova3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctSuper Nova0 – 3Rīgas FSL
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaL
  • 15 OctRīgas FS4 – 0Super NovaL
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaW
  • 20 SeptOgre United1 – 0Super NovaL
H2H
Head to headBFC Daugavpils 3W · 4D · Super Nova 2W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 22 AugSuper Nova0 – 0BFC Daugavpils
  • 16 JunBFC Daugavpils0 – 0Super Nova
  • 27 AprBFC Daugavpils0 – 1Super Nova
  • 2 AugSuper Nova1 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 1 JunSuper Nova4 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 15 AprBFC Daugavpils1 – 1Super Nova

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.021.8% · 12.9
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.145.2% · 4.4
2.5 goals14.4% · 1.610.5% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.3% · 2.4616.1% · 1.43

Both teams to score

Yes61%
No39%

Double chance

1X56.5%
X243.5%

Match result

BFC Daugavpils2.01
Draw3.52
Super Nova3.16

Both teams to score

Yes61% · 1.51
No39% · 2.36

1X

Chance56.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.5%
Odds1.66

BFC Daugavpils

Chance45.3%
Odds2.01

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.52

Super Nova

Chance28.8%
Odds3.16

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
Recent form59%41%
Attack67%33%
Defence55%45%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils conceded 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Sat, 25 Oct 2025

BFC Daugavpils meet Super Nova in the Latvia, Virsliga on 25 October 2025 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is BFC Daugavpils at 2.01. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 57.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.51.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova FAQs

4 questions

What time is BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 25 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova?

BFC Daugavpils is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.01. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.51. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.