Get Premium

BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsTue, 4 Aug 2026

BG Pathum United

Tue, 4 Aug 202614:00

1 : 3

Full time

Aston Villa

Pre-match win probability

8.4%BG Pathum United13.1%Draw78.5%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Aston Villa

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.17
Confidence78.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BG Pathum United 8.4%
  • Draw 13.1%
  • Aston Villa 78.5%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals29.2% · 1.053.6% · 8.5
2.5 goals25.6% · 1.27.1% · 4.33
3.5 goals20.5% · 1.512.3% · 2.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X21.5%
X278.5%

Match result

BG Pathum United11
Draw7
Aston Villa1.17

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance21.5%
Odds3.75

X2

Chance78.5%
Odds1.03

BG Pathum United

Chance8.4%
Odds11

Draw

Chance13.1%
Odds7

Aston Villa

Chance78.5%
Odds1.17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aston Villa at 1.17

BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall10%90%

BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Tue, 4 Aug 2026

BG Pathum United meet Aston Villa in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 4 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 78.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.2, about 78.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 4 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 78.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.2 and under 2.5 is 4.33.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats