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BG Pathum United vs Buriram United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Thailand · Thai League 1Sat, 14 Feb 2026

BG Pathum United

Sat, 14 Feb 202613:00

1 : 3

Full time

Buriram United

Pre-match win probability

28.8%BG Pathum United26.3%Draw44.9%Buriram United

Our prediction

Buriram United

Buriram United is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BG Pathum United 28.8%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Buriram United 44.9%

Season statistics

Thai League 1 · highlighted side is stronger

BG Pathum UnitedBuriram United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.256.2% · 3.75
2.5 goals13% · 1.811.7% · 2
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X44%
X256%

Match result

BG Pathum United3.2
Draw3.5
Buriram United2.05

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance44%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance56%
Odds1.36

BG Pathum United

Chance28.8%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.5

Buriram United

Chance44.9%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Buriram United at 2.05

BG Pathum UnitedBuriram United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

BG Pathum United vs Buriram United: prediction & preview

Thailand · Thai League 1 · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

BG Pathum United meet Buriram United in the Thailand, Thai League 1 on 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Buriram United at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

BG Pathum United vs Buriram United FAQs

4 questions

What time is BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on BG Pathum United vs Buriram United?

Buriram United is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

BG Pathum United vs Buriram United prediction, H2H and stats