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BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Thailand · Thai League 1Sun, 1 Mar 2026

BG Pathum United

WLDDW

Sun, 1 Mar 202612:30

2 : 1

Full time

Sukhothai FC

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

68.9%BG Pathum United19.9%Draw11.2%Sukhothai FC

Our prediction

Home · BG Pathum United

BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence68.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • BG Pathum United 68.9%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Sukhothai FC 11.2%

Season statistics

Thai League 1 · highlighted side is stronger

BG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X73.1%
X226.9%

Match result

BG Pathum United1.3
Draw4.5
Sukhothai FC8

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance73.1%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance26.9%
Odds2.88

BG Pathum United

Chance68.9%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.5

Sukhothai FC

Chance11.2%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.3

BG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC: prediction & preview

Thailand · Thai League 1 · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

BG Pathum United meet Sukhothai FC in the Thailand, Thai League 1 on 1 March 2026 at 12:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is BG Pathum United at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC?

Kickoff is 12:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC?

BG Pathum United is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

BG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC prediction, H2H and stats