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Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipThu, 17 Sept 2026

Birmingham Legion

WDLDD

Thu, 17 Sept 202601:30

4 : 4

Full time

New Mexico United

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

42.2%Birmingham Legion26.1%Draw31.7%New Mexico United

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Birmingham Legion

Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence42.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Birmingham Legion 42.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • New Mexico United 31.7%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Birmingham LegionNew Mexico United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals20% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.579.9% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X54.6%
X245.4%

Match result

Birmingham Legion2.1
Draw3.4
New Mexico United2.8

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance54.6%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.4%
Odds1.6

Birmingham Legion

Chance42.2%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.4

New Mexico United

Chance31.7%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.6

Birmingham LegionNew Mexico United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 17 Sept 2026

Birmingham Legion meet New Mexico United in the USA, USL Championship on 17 September 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Birmingham Legion at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 17 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United?

Birmingham Legion is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.