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Birmingham vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipFri, 26 Dec 2025

Birmingham

LDLLW

Fri, 26 Dec 202513:30

1 : 1

Full time

Derby

DWDLL

Pre-match win probability

49.7%Birmingham27.8%Draw22.5%Derby

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Birmingham

Birmingham vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence49.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Birmingham 49.7%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Derby 22.5%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

BirminghamDerby

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Birmingham0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
      1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
      2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67
      3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.4%
      No53.6%

      Double chance

      1X61.4%
      X238.6%

      Match result

      Birmingham1.9
      Draw3.4
      Derby4.2

      Both teams to score

      Yes46.4% · 2
      No53.6% · 1.73

      1X

      Chance61.4%
      Odds1.2

      X2

      Chance38.6%
      Odds1.91

      Birmingham

      Chance49.7%
      Odds1.9

      Draw

      Chance27.8%
      Odds3.4

      Derby

      Chance22.5%
      Odds4.2

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.91

      BirminghamDerby
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall69%31%

      Birmingham vs Derby: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Fri, 26 Dec 2025

      Birmingham meet Derby in the England, Championship on 26 December 2025 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Birmingham at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Birmingham vs Derby FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Birmingham vs Derby?

      Kickoff is 13:30 on 26 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Birmingham vs Derby?

      Birmingham is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.