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Bolívar vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL SudamericanaThu, 23 Jul 2026

Bolívar

DWWLW

Thu, 23 Jul 202623:00

3 : 2

Live

Gremio

2nd in table · 11 pts

Pre-match win probability

59.5%Bolívar22.8%Draw17.8%Gremio

Our prediction

Bolívar

Bolívar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence59.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bolívar 59.5%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Gremio 17.8%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BolívarGremio
Goals scored (avg)
2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
–3
Played
–6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bolívar7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 27 OctBolívar2 – 1Universitario de VintoW
  • 21 OctReal Potosí3 – 1BolívarL
  • 18 OctNacional Potosí0 – 1BolívarW
  • 12 OctBolívar1 – 0BloomingW
  • 9 OctBlooming1 – 1BolívarD
Gremio0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headBolívar 1W · 0D · Gremio 0W · 1 goals a game
    • 30 JulGremio0 – 1Bolívar

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5%
    No48.5%

    Double chance

    1X66.3%
    X233.7%

    Match result

    Bolívar1.57
    Draw4.1
    Gremio5.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes51.5% · 1.8
    No48.5% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance66.3%
    Odds1.17

    X2

    Chance33.7%
    Odds2.3

    Bolívar

    Chance59.5%
    Odds1.57

    Draw

    Chance22.8%
    Odds4.1

    Gremio

    Chance17.8%
    Odds5.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Bolívar at 1.57

    BolívarGremio
    Recent form96%4%
    Attack67%33%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model67%33%
    Head-to-head100%0%
    Overall77%23%

    Trends

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Bolívar scored 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Bolívar conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

    Bolívar vs Gremio: prediction & preview

    World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Thu, 23 Jul 2026

    Bolívar meet Gremio in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 23 July 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bolívar at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Bolívar vs Gremio FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Bolívar vs Gremio?

    Kickoff is 23:00 on 23 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Bolívar vs Gremio?

    Bolívar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Bolívar vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats