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Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipFri, 23 Oct 2026

Bolton

18th in table · 14 pts

WWLWD

Fri, 23 Oct 202620:00

1 : 5

Full time

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 25 pts

DDWWD

Pre-match win probability

17.9%Bolton22.3%Draw59.8%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Bolton

Bolton vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence59.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bolton 17.9%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Middlesbrough 59.8%

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BoltonMiddlesbrough
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.7
Wins
47
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bolton3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 17 OctSouthampton0 – 0BoltonD
  • 13 OctWolves1 – 3BoltonW
  • 10 OctBolton1 – 2Stoke CityL
  • 20 SeptNorwich3 – 4BoltonW
  • 12 SeptBolton1 – 0CardiffW
Middlesbrough4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughW
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
H2H
Head to headBolton 0W · 0D · Middlesbrough 9W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 20 JulMiddlesbrough3 – 0Bolton
  • 29 AugBolton1 – 3Middlesbrough
  • 9 AprBolton0 – 2Middlesbrough
  • 19 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 0Bolton
  • 26 DecMiddlesbrough2 – 0Bolton
  • 9 SeptBolton0 – 3Middlesbrough

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X33.7%
X266.3%

Match result

Bolton5.25
Draw4.2
Middlesbrough1.57

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

Bolton

Chance17.9%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance22.3%
Odds4.2

Middlesbrough

Chance59.8%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.17

BoltonMiddlesbrough
Recent form38%62%
Attack44%56%
Defence46%54%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall23%77%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Bolton scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Bolton conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Bolton vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Bolton meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 23 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bolton vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bolton vs Middlesbrough?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bolton vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.