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Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 21 Mar 2026

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table · 73 pts

WWLLD

Sat, 21 Mar 202618:30

3 : 2

Full time

Hamburger SV

13th in table · 38 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

68.5%Borussia Dortmund18.9%Draw12.6%Hamburger SV

Our prediction

Home · Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence68.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Borussia Dortmund 68.5%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Hamburger SV 12.6%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
Goals scored (avg)
–1.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9
Wins
229
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Borussia Dortmund0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Hamburger SV5W 0D 5L in last 10
    • 27 OctHamburger SV1 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
    • 24 OctSC Paderborn 071 – 0Hamburger SVL
    • 17 OctHamburger SV1 – 0VfB StuttgartW
    • 10 Oct1899 Hoffenheim2 – 3Hamburger SVW
    • 4 OctHamburger SV2 – 0FC CopenhagenW
    H2H
    Head to headBorussia Dortmund 6W · 2D · Hamburger SV 1W · 2.9 goals a game
    • 29 AugBorussia Dortmund2 – 0Hamburger SV
    • 8 NovHamburger SV1 – 1Borussia Dortmund
    • 10 FebBorussia Dortmund2 – 0Hamburger SV
    • 20 SeptHamburger SV0 – 3Borussia Dortmund
    • 4 AprBorussia Dortmund3 – 0Hamburger SV
    • 5 NovHamburger SV2 – 5Borussia Dortmund

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.4% · 17
    1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
    2.5 goals15.5% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
    3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

    Both teams to score

    Yes52%
    No48%

    Double chance

    1X71.4%
    X228.6%

    Match result

    Borussia Dortmund1.38
    Draw5
    Hamburger SV7.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes52% · 1.8
    No48% · 1.95

    1X

    Chance71.4%
    Odds1.1

    X2

    Chance28.6%
    Odds2.75

    Borussia Dortmund

    Chance68.5%
    Odds1.38

    Draw

    Chance18.9%
    Odds5

    Hamburger SV

    Chance12.6%
    Odds7.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.38

    Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack45%55%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model45%55%
    Head-to-head78%22%
    Overall84%16%

    Trends

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Hamburger SV scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Hamburger SV conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Bundesliga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: prediction & preview

    Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

    Borussia Dortmund meet Hamburger SV in the Germany, Bundesliga on 21 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Borussia Dortmund at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

    Kickoff is 18:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

    Borussia Dortmund is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.