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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupWed, 28 Oct 2026

Bournemouth

LWWWW

Wed, 28 Oct 202620:45

vs

Not started

Aston Villa

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

43.3%Bournemouth26.6%Draw30.1%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Draw · Bournemouth

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds3.5
Confidence43.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bournemouth 43.3%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Aston Villa 30.1%

Season statistics

League Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BournemouthAston Villa
Goals scored (avg)
2.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bournemouth6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanW
  • 18 OctBournemouth2 – 0SunderlandW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthL
Aston Villa0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headBournemouth 3W · 3D · Aston Villa 4W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 7 FebBournemouth1 – 1Aston Villa
    • 9 NovAston Villa4 – 0Bournemouth
    • 10 MayBournemouth0 – 1Aston Villa
    • 26 OctAston Villa1 – 1Bournemouth
    • 21 AprAston Villa3 – 1Bournemouth
    • 3 DecBournemouth2 – 2Aston Villa

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
    2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
    3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X55.1%
    X244.9%

    Match result

    Bournemouth2.15
    Draw3.5
    Aston Villa3.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance55.1%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance44.9%
    Odds1.67

    Bournemouth

    Chance43.3%
    Odds2.15

    Draw

    Chance26.6%
    Odds3.5

    Aston Villa

    Chance30.1%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.5

    BournemouthAston Villa
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack69%31%
    Defence66%34%
    Goals model69%31%
    Head-to-head45%55%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · League Cup

    Bournemouth scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Bournemouth conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · League Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

    England · League Cup · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

    Bournemouth meet Aston Villa in the England, League Cup on 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bournemouth at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

    Bournemouth is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.